Suzhou Dongwu vs Qingdao Red Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
11º
4º
21
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 20 |
16º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suzhou Dongwu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SDO
1 - 0
CHO
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
SDO
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SDO
2 - 1
NAN
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
SDO
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SDO
2 - 2
SHE
42%
28%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Qingdao Red Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
YUN
5 - 0
QFC
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
QFC
1 - 2
JIA
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
QFC
0 - 0
SHA
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 2
QFC
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
QFC
1 - 2
WWF
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |