FA Cup Final
Global 4-0
Suwon Bluewings vs Daejeon Korail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suwon Bluewings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
DAE
0 - 0
SUW
13%
19%
68%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SUW
0 - 0
SEO
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
INC
1 - 1
SUW
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SUW
2 - 1
GYE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SUW
1 - 2
FCS
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Daejeon Korail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
DAE
0 - 0
SUW
13%
19%
68%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
DAE
2 - 0
GAN
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
MOK
2 - 2
DAE
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 1
DAE
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
DAE
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |