Suwon Bluewings vs Busan I Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
5º
46
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 65 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 59 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 55 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 55 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 54 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 53 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 48 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 43 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 43 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 14.5% |
|
Next round
|
56% | 56% |
|
Mid-table
|
26% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suwon Bluewings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SEO
1 - 2
SUW
18%
25%
56%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SUW
1 - 2
CHE
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 2
SUW
17%
26%
57%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ELA
2 - 0
SUW
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SUW
2 - 1
CDR
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BUS
1 - 1
GYE
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDR
1 - 2
BUS
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BUS
3 - 1
SEO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BUS
0 - 0
GIM
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 1
BUS
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |