Sutton United vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
SUT
2 - 2
HAM
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CHM
2 - 3
SUT
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
SUT
31%
27%
43%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
SUT
2 - 2
WHI
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SUT
4 - 3
WEL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
SAL
18%
23%
60%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 0
THU
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
THU
0 - 2
CHM
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CHM
1 - 0
THU
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
WOK
17%
24%
60%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | +1 |