Sutton United vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
SUT
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SUT
0 - 2
TRA
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
STE
3 - 0
SUT
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GIL
1 - 0
SUT
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SUT
1 - 2
SAL
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EXE
2 - 4
OXF
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OXF
0 - 1
WYC
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
OXF
1 - 2
CHE
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
OXF
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OXF
1 - 2
MKD
40%
26%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |