Sutton United vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 1
BRA
20%
27%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
WRE
2 - 1
SUT
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 3
MOR
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DON
4 - 1
SUT
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 0
CRA
24%
23%
54%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GAT
0 - 4
FYL
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
FYL
3 - 0
OLD
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FYL
1 - 1
EBB
41%
24%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FYL
3 - 1
LEE
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OXF
3 - 0
FYL
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |