Sutton United vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STO
3 - 0
SUT
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 2
SUT
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SUT
1 - 1
WAL
56%
26%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
SUT
2 - 0
OXF
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
SUT
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
2 - 1
OXF
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
WEY
0 - 1
FAR
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DOV
1 - 1
FAR
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FAR
7 - 0
BIG
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 2
FAR
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |