Sutton United vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
HEM
1 - 2
SUT
58%
21%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
HAV
2 - 2
SUT
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SUT
2 - 1
EBB
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
WES
3 - 2
SUT
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
SUT
1 - 1
WEA
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 2
NOR
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
HEM
4 - 1
FAR
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
MAI
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MAI
2 - 2
FAR
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
CHM
6 - 2
FAR
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |