Sutton United vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SUT
0 - 1
WHI
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HAY
0 - 0
SUT
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
SUT
4 - 3
BRO
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HAV
3 - 0
SUT
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 0
SUT
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EAS
0 - 1
FAR
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
BIL
2 - 1
FAR
29%
24%
48%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 1
HOR
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 1
EAS
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
WEL
2 - 0
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |