Sutton United vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 1
SUT
39%
27%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SUT
0 - 1
DAR
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
DOV
0 - 2
SUT
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 1
BRO
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HAM
0 - 0
SUT
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 0
HAV
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 0
FAR
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 4
FAR
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FAR
0 - 2
HAM
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 2
DOR
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |