Sutton United vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 0
SUT
44%
25%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SUT
0 - 1
GOS
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BIS
0 - 0
SUT
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SUT
0 - 1
HAY
72%
17%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
SUT
1 - 2
BRO
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CHM
0 - 1
HAV
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
HEM
3 - 1
CHM
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CHM
1 - 1
MAI
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GOS
0 - 1
CHM
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CHM
1 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |