Sutton United vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SUT
5 - 1
HAY
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 3
SUT
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
MAI
0 - 1
SUT
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SUT
3 - 0
BIL
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SUT
2 - 1
BOR
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 2
WHI
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
DOR
3 - 1
HOR
47%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 0
HOR
61%
20%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
BRO
33%
27%
41%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
BOR
2 - 1
HOR
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |