Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 2-3
Sutjeska vs Partizan Minsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
PET
0 - 3
SUT
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SUT
3 - 1
KOM
56%
26%
19%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
RUD
0 - 0
SUT
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SUT
2 - 0
LOV
59%
26%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
ZET
0 - 3
SUT
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Partizan Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
PMI
0 - 2
BAT
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
DNM
5 - 0
PMI
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PMI
2 - 1
FCS
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MIN
1 - 2
PMI
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PMI
0 - 1
DNP
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |