Sutjeska vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
6º
1º
42
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
JEZ
0 - 0
SUT
21%
27%
52%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SUT
3 - 4
JED
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 2
FKA
61%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
SUT
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RUD
1 - 4
SUT
18%
26%
57%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
RUD
50%
26%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 0
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
IKD
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
PET
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |