Sutjeska vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
15%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
RUD
3 - 1
SUT
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
SUT
2 - 0
DEC
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
SUT
1 - 0
BER
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SUT
2 - 0
DEC
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
DEC
0 - 1
SUT
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 3
PET
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 0
FKC
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
KOM
0 - 2
MOR
52%
27%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MOG
4 - 0
MOR
76%
16%
7%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
FKC
1 - 3
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |