Sutjeska vs Mogren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
BER
3 - 2
SUT
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ZET
2 - 3
SUT
33%
28%
38%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SUT
2 - 0
BOK
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
BUD
1 - 2
SUT
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SUT
1 - 1
PET
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 5
MLA
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 3
MLA
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 3
MOG
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
MOG
1 - 2
LOV
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RUD
2 - 1
MOG
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |