Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 3-5
Sutjeska vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MLA
0 - 1
SUT
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
APO
3 - 0
SUT
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
SUT
0 - 1
APO
30%
26%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
SUT
1 - 1
SBR
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
SBR
1 - 1
SUT
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
HBT
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 2
FIN
81%
14%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
HBT
2 - 2
LIN
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIN
13%
18%
70%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
RBK
4 - 0
LIN
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |