Sutjeska vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 1
VLZ
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 2
MLA
75%
17%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
MLJ
0 - 4
SUT
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
RUD
0 - 2
SUT
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 2
DEC
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 4
GAG
16%
24%
61%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
GAG
1 - 1
MER
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
GAG
3 - 0
GAR
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
SIO
0 - 1
GAG
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GAG
2 - 0
SHE
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |