Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
6º
1º
50
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
SUT
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RUD
1 - 4
SUT
18%
26%
57%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 1
DEC
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 1
SUT
51%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 1
IKD
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 1
RUD
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 0
FKA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 1
BUD
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IKD
0 - 1
FKA
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |