Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
78.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 0
SUT
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SUT
1 - 2
MAR
13%
20%
68%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SUT
1 - 0
SYD
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
SUT
0 - 4
WOL
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 2
SUT
85%
11%
4%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SGS
2 - 2
API
9%
13%
78%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
API
2 - 0
SYD
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
API
51%
22%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
STG
1 - 0
API
29%
22%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
API
4 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |