Surnadal vs Verdal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
57.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+353%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
11º
14º
13º
23
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 57 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 54 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 51 |
3º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 43 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 35 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
47% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
93% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surnadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
SUR
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SUR
0 - 4
ROS
16%
16%
69%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
RFK
0 - 2
SUR
86%
9%
5%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SUR
0 - 4
BYA
10%
14%
76%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VER
5 - 0
SUR
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Verdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VER
4 - 2
STR
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
VER
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
VER
2 - 2
ORK
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
LIL
7 - 1
VER
66%
18%
17%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VER
5 - 0
SUR
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |