Surat Thani City vs Lampang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surat Thani City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 6
STC
20%
24%
56%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
STC
2 - 1
RAN
55%
22%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
STC
2 - 3
PAT
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
STC
1 - 0
JFC
54%
23%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
STC
0 - 2
NAU
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Lampang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 1
SIU
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
LAM
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 0
BAN
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 2
LAM
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 4
PHU
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |