Sur Club vs Al Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
12º
11º
17
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sur Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 2
SUR
48%
22%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SUR
2 - 3
RUS
46%
27%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SUR
3 - 2
ALN
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
ALO
0 - 0
SUR
48%
26%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SUR
1 - 2
ALS
41%
27%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Al Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 0
ALI
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALS
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
ALI
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALN
30%
25%
46%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
OMA
2 - 0
ALI
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |