Confederation Cup Final
Global 1-2
SuperSport United vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SuperSport United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TPM
2 - 1
SSU
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
SSU
3 - 0
GOL
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BLO
2 - 2
SSU
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CLU
1 - 3
SSU
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MPU
1 - 1
SSU
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TPM
2 - 1
SSU
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
TPM
2 - 0
EKA
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FUR
0 - 0
TPM
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
TPM
1 - 0
FUR
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TPM
5 - 0
OBA
90%
8%
2%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | +1 |