SuperSport United vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
12º
7º
73
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SuperSport United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CCF
1 - 0
SSU
43%
27%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SUF
2 - 1
SSU
33%
30%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
POL
1 - 1
SSU
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
TSG
2 - 3
SSU
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
SSU
3 - 1
RKF
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 0
NOU
91%
8%
1%
|
75 | 30 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
TSG
2 - 2
SUN
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 0
SUN
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 1
SFC
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |