SuperSport United vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SuperSport United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
PIR
0 - 0
SSU
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2009 |
SSU
0 - 1
SUN
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
SSU
3 - 0
MPU
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
1 - 0
SSU
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SSU
3 - 0
COS
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
FRE
3 - 3
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
SWA
2 - 1
FRE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
PIR
0 - 0
FRE
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 0
MPU
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 1
FRE
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |