SK Super Nova vs Valmiera II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
4º
1º
26
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
53.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 0
TUK
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 2
SUP
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RFA
0 - 3
SUP
8%
16%
76%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SUP
3 - 0
FSL
82%
12%
7%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 0
ALB
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
VAL
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
SMI
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PRA
0 - 0
VAL
27%
22%
51%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RFA
73%
15%
12%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
KFV
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |