SK Super Nova vs Rezekne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
4º
1º
11
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
47 | 63 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 62 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 49 |
4º
|
86% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 40 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 31 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 30 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
47% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 67.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 2
SUP
70%
16%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SUP
0 - 2
LEV
26%
22%
53%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 5
NOM
7%
11%
82%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 1
SUP
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 0
SUP
81%
14%
5%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RFA
2 - 1
FKB
41%
21%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 3
RFA
58%
19%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RFA
0 - 7
TUK
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 0
RFA
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RFA
1 - 2
SMI
57%
19%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |