SK Super Nova vs AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
4º
1º
30
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
SUP
53%
22%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 2
KFV
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 1
KFV
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 4
SUP
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FSL
0 - 1
SUP
14%
20%
67%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 5
PRA
29%
20%
52%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 3
OUD
86%
9%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 0
ALI
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
PRA
25%
20%
56%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 1
SMI
68%
16%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |