SK Super Nova vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
35
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AUD
2 - 0
SUP
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
FKE
1 - 1
SUP
64%
18%
18%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LIE
8 - 1
SUP
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FSM
1 - 1
SUP
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SUP
1 - 6
VAL
6%
15%
79%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
BFC
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 1
FKT
22%
21%
58%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKT
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FKT
1 - 2
FKS
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FKT
0 - 2
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |