SK Super Nova vs FK Mārupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
4º
1º
31
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
53.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 0
RIG
37%
23%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 3
SMI
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SUP
4 - 1
PRA
69%
17%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
SUP
53%
22%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 2
KFV
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 4
AUD
5%
11%
84%
|
35 | 75 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
OUD
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 1
MAR
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
SMI
37%
21%
42%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 1
MAR
54%
18%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |