SK Super Nova vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
76.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
51
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
4%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
7%
18%
75%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 3
FSM
21%
22%
58%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
SUP
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 2
SUP
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LIE
7 - 0
FKB
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 29 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
BFC
73%
18%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
LIE
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
LIE
16%
22%
62%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |