SK Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
36
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
SUP
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 1
SUP
25%
20%
55%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
5%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
LIE
7%
17%
77%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RIG
5 - 0
SUP
83%
13%
4%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 0
BFC
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
AUD
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
BFC
73%
18%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 1
RIG
12%
20%
68%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |