Super Eagles vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
73.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Super Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MBO
1 - 0
SEA
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SEA
0 - 0
SFC
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RKF
3 - 1
SEA
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PRE
1 - 3
SEA
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SEA
0 - 3
PAR
29%
29%
42%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 0
FRE
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 3
MAR
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 0
MPU
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
BID
0 - 1
FRE
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |