Veraguas FC vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
5º
11º
11º
18
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 31 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 28 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 26 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 25 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
12º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 65.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Veraguas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SMI
2 - 1
SUN
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
AMA
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
4 - 1
SUN
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 1
TAU
24%
28%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 2
IND
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 1
SFF
39%
30%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UME
3 - 1
AFC
32%
29%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
IND
33%
28%
40%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
AFC
43%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
AZU
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |