Sunderland U23 vs Derby County U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LIV
3 - 0
SUN
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 4
MCI
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
EVE
0 - 1
SUN
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SUN
3 - 0
SOU
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +5 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 3
SUN
69%
19%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
DER
2 - 1
REA
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
3 - 2
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
DER
1 - 3
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
DER
1 - 2
TOT
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
EVE
2 - 0
DER
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |