Sunderland U21 vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
SUN
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
SUN
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 2
NOT
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 0
LUT
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 2
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 1
CRE
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 2
MOR
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |