Sunderland U21 vs Newcastle U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
9º
9º
23
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 0
NOR
15%
20%
65%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
5 - 7
MID
50%
20%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 3
SOU
29%
24%
48%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
1 - 1
SUN
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
STC
2 - 3
SUN
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 1
NWC
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
NWC
0 - 2
AVI
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
4 - 2
NWC
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
1 - 1
SUN
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NWC
3 - 2
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |