EFL Cup 1/64
Global 4-1
Sunderland vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 1
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
YOR
0 - 2
SUN
20%
25%
55%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
SUN
1 - 0
QPR
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
SWI
1 - 2
SUN
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1998 |
IPS
2 - 0
SUN
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
YOR
1 - 1
GIL
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
YOR
0 - 2
SUN
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
PNE
3 - 0
YOR
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
YOR
0 - 0
NOR
43%
29%
29%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
CUM
1 - 2
YOR
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |