Sunderland vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
ARS
1 - 2
SUN
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
NTT
1 - 1
SUN
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
SUN
0 - 1
MUD
28%
27%
46%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
SUN
2 - 2
STO
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
LIV
0 - 1
SUN
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
WAT
3 - 3
LEI
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
LSO
1 - 3
WAT
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1983 |
WAT
0 - 0
WHU
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
EVE
1 - 0
WAT
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
WAT
1 - 1
LSO
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |