EFL Cup 1/32
Global 8-2
Sunderland vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SUN
2 - 0
LEI
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
SUN
1 - 1
COV
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 2
SUN
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
LEE
2 - 1
SUN
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARS
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
GRI
1 - 0
WAL
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
NTT
4 - 1
WAL
62%
22%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
WAL
2 - 2
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
WOL
1 - 2
WAL
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
PLY
1 - 4
WAL
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |