Sunderland vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SUN
1 - 0
OPA
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
SUN
2 - 1
SHE
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
STO
1 - 0
SUN
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
BBU
2 - 2
SUN
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 1
NOR
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
STO
0 - 0
PLY
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
BUR
0 - 0
STO
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
STO
1 - 0
SUN
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
LEE
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SHW
2 - 0
STO
50%
26%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |