Sunderland vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1985 |
SOU
1 - 0
SUN
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1985 |
WAT
0 - 1
SUN
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1985 |
SOU
4 - 0
SUN
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1985 |
NEW
3 - 1
SUN
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1984 |
TOT
2 - 0
SUN
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1985 |
LEI
0 - 0
STO
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1985 |
STO
2 - 3
LUT
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1985 |
LUT
1 - 1
STO
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1985 |
COV
4 - 0
STO
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1984 |
STO
0 - 2
QPR
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |