Sunderland vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
SUN
5 - 3
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
STO
1 - 2
SUN
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
WBA
1 - 1
SUN
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
SUN
3 - 2
WBA
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
EVE
1 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
ARS
3 - 0
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
STO
1 - 2
SUN
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
STO
0 - 0
MID
28%
27%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
MID
3 - 1
STO
69%
17%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
STO
3 - 1
CAR
36%
27%
36%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |