Sunderland vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HUL
1 - 0
SUN
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SUN
2 - 1
NEW
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SWA
4 - 0
SUN
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SUN
1 - 2
MUD
9%
18%
73%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SUN
1 - 3
LIV
20%
25%
56%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
STO
1 - 1
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 0
FUL
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MUD
1 - 1
SOU
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 0
SWA
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 0
CRY
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |