Sunderland vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1968 |
SUN
3 - 0
IPS
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
STO
2 - 1
SUN
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1968 |
MUD
1 - 2
SUN
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1968 |
SUN
0 - 0
WBA
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
CHL
1 - 0
SUN
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1968 |
SOU
2 - 0
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
SOU
1 - 3
LEE
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1968 |
SOU
0 - 0
COV
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1968 |
FUL
2 - 2
SOU
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
SOU
1 - 1
WOL
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |