Sunderland vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
SUN
1 - 3
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
SUN
2 - 0
EVE
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1966 |
NOR
2 - 1
SUN
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1966 |
ARS
1 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1966 |
SUN
0 - 2
ARS
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
MAC
0 - 0
SOU
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1966 |
LEY
1 - 1
SOU
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1966 |
PLY
2 - 3
SOU
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1966 |
SOU
1 - 0
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |