Sunderland vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
STO
3 - 1
SUN
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
SUN
5 - 2
MUD
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
MID
3 - 0
SUN
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1939 |
BBU
1 - 0
SUN
48%
22%
31%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1939 |
SUN
2 - 0
LEI
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1939 |
LIV
4 - 4
OPA
60%
20%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1939 |
OPA
2 - 0
LEE
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1939 |
OPA
1 - 0
PNE
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1939 |
CHA
3 - 3
OPA
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1939 |
BRE
2 - 0
OPA
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |