Sunderland vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
SUN
4 - 3
SHW
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
DER
0 - 0
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
SUN
5 - 1
ARS
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
ARS
1 - 1
SUN
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
ARS
4 - 0
OPA
64%
19%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
OPA
3 - 0
EVE
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
HUR
3 - 1
OPA
67%
19%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
ASV
3 - 2
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
OPA
3 - 2
ASV
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |