Sunderland vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
BOL
1 - 0
SUN
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
36%
24%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 0
BRA
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
EVE
1 - 3
SUN
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 0
WBA
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
WBA
8 - 0
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 2
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
DER
3 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
NOT
4 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |